New Orleans Saints vs. Seattle Seahawks – Point Spread Pick

Time: 8:40 PM EST Monday December 2, 2013, ESPN

Huge Monday night contest has the 2 top teams in the NFC the Seattle Seahawks hosting the New Orleans Saints in a classic NFC conference battle which could very well determine who gets home field advantage in the playoffs.

In their last game 2 weeks ago the Seattle Seahawks beat the Minnesota Vikings 41-20 at home as a 13 point favorite.

The New Orleans Saints won their last game 17-13 over their divisional rival the Falcons, 11 days ago in week 12’s Thursday night contest in Atlanta as a 7.5 point favorite.

Seattle beat the New Orleans Saints 41-36 at home in a playoff game on Jan 8/11 as a 10 point underdog. The Seahawks has won 2 of their last 3 but the series is split at 5-5 in their last 10, dating back to November 1985.

This season the Saints are 2-2 on the road and the Seahawks are 5-0 at home.

Betting Odds at 5Dimes
Point Spread: Seattle -5.5
Over/Under Total Line: 47.5
Moneyline: Saints +185 / Seahawks -225

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
New Orleans Saints: 9-2 SU 6-5 ATS
Seattle Seahawks: 10-1 SU 7-4 ATS

Key Betting Trends

• NO is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.
• NO is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
• NO is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• SEA is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.
• SEA is 10-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• SEA is 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week.

Sagarin Power Rankings
New Orleans Saints: 27.75
Seattle Seahawks: 31.43

Key Player Injuries

[RB] 11/29/2013 – Darren Sproles Prob Monday (Ankle)
[G] 11/26/2013 – Jahri Evans Ques Monday (Ankle)
[DE] 11/26/2013 – Grenn Foster Ques Monday (Leg)
[CB] 11/17/2013 – Jabari Greer Out indefinitely (Knee)
[LB] 10/7/2013 – Victor Butler I-R (Knee)
[WR] 10/7/2013 – Joseph Morgan I-R (Knee)
[DE] 10/7/2013 – Kenyon Coleman I-R (Pectoral)
[LB] 10/7/2013 – Will Smith I-R (Knee)
[CB] 9/18/2013 – Patrick Robinson I-R (Leg)

[WR] 11/30/2013 – Jermaine Kearse Prob Monday (Concussion)
[RB] 11/30/2013 – Marshawn Lynch Prob Monday (Knee)
[CB] 11/26/2013 – Tharold Simon Ques Monday (Foot)
[RB] 11/26/2013 – Derrick Coleman Ques Monday (Hamstring)
[DT] 11/26/2013 – Jordan Hill Ques Monday (Bicep)
[CB] 11/26/2013 – Brandon Browner Out indefinitely (Suspension)
[CB] 11/24/2013 – Walter Thurmond Elig Week 17 (Suspension)
[DE] 9/5/2013 – Greg Scruggs Out indefinitely (Knee)
[WR] 10/30/2013 – Sidney Rice I-R (Knee)
[FB] 10/22/2013 – Spencer Ware I-R (Ankle)

Next Game on Deck
Carolina @ New Orleans
Seattle @ San Francisco

ATS Game Pick: The Saints have lost their last two on the road and now face the Seahawks who just may have the strongest home field advantage. To keep this game close New Orleans will have to run the ball which we believe may be a problem. The Saints have been held to 92 yards or less in 3 of their last 5 with the two games over that total coming against the 28th and 29th rushing defenses.
Take the Seattle Seahawks -5.5 at 5Dimes and get reduced juice on every play.